NBA Command Hub
AnalyticsGame and player projections, matchup context, injuries, schedule and referee data, built from five seasons of box-score history and updated every day. Use it to understand every game and every prop before you decide anything yourself.
Game projections
Every game
Score, margin, total, win chance
Player projections
Every rotation player
Minutes + 8 stat ranges
Injury information
Official + ESPN
League report, updated through the day
History
5 seasons
2021-22 to today, box-score level
NBA Model Signals
PausedOur testing showed that our NBA models did not beat the sportsbooks' closing lines, so we are not publishing NBA picks. A Signal returns for a market only after it has beaten the closing line in a forward test we can show you. Until then, the analytics below are the product, and the Model Performance page shows exactly how our projections are doing.
Start with tonight
Matchups
Our projected score for every game, who is missing, and how the two teams compare.
Player Props
Projected minutes and stat ranges for every player, with a checker for the line you are looking at.
Lineups & injuries
Expected starters and every Out, Doubtful and Questionable player from the league's injury report.
All NBA analytics
18 pages, grouped by what you are trying to understand.
Matchups
Every game with our projected score, margin and total, who is out, and a head-to-head breakdown.
Scores
Live and final scores with quarter-by-quarter box scores and team and player leaders.
Game Script
How each game is likely to play: pace, efficiency and scoring environment.
Model vs Market
Where our independent estimate sits against the book's spread and total, and how far apart they are.
Pace & Efficiency
Pace, four factors and net rating for every team, with tonight's pace matchups.
Power Rankings
A composite rating for every team, with a full drawer of splits, form and schedule.
ATS & O-U Records
Against-the-spread and over/under records with home, road and situational splits.
Defense by Position
Points, rebounds and assists each defense allows to guards, forwards and centers.
Schedule & Fatigue
Rest, back-to-backs, travel and road trips, plus what rest has historically been worth.
Referee Intel
Tonight's crews and how much each referee has really moved totals, with the uncertainty shown.
Player Props
Projected minutes, availability and the likely range of every stat for every player, with a line checker.
Prop Lab
Paste your sportsbook's lines and see how likely the over and under are for each.
Player Stats
Season and last-10 averages for every player, with a full game-by-game drawer.
Lineups
Expected starters, rotations and who is Out, Doubtful or Questionable.
Who's Hot
Players whose last five games differ most from their own average, and why.
Prop Streaks
Last 5, 10 and 20 game averages for every tracked player stat.
Model Performance
How accurate our projections have been, measured against the closing line and real results.
Definitions
Plain-English glossary of every metric and projection on the site.
How we handle the numbers
Basketball is noisy. These are the rules we hold ourselves to.
Independent projections
Our scores and player projections are built from box-score data, not copied from the sportsbook, so they are a genuine second opinion on every game.
Uncertainty shown, not hidden
Every projection comes with a range. A 21-point projection really means somewhere between about 10 and 33, and we show you that.
Validated in the open
We grade every projection after the game and publish the results, including when we trail the closing line. That is why Signals are paused.