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HR Hitter Finder

Today's batters ranked by home run probability — powered by the mlb_hr_hitter_classifier model. Updated with confirmed lineups.

1
NYY logo

Aaron Judge

NYY vs LHP starter · Batting 2

Barrel%

18.2%

Avg EV

95.1

HR Park Factor

108

Hand matchup

RHB vs LHP

STRONG EDGE

74%

HR PICK
2
NYM logo

Pete Alonso

NYM vs RHP starter · Batting 4

Barrel%

16.8%

Avg EV

93.4

HR Park Factor

102

Hand matchup

RHB vs RHP

STRONG EDGE

68%

HR PICK
3
LAD logo

Shohei Ohtani

LAD vs RHP starter · Batting 1

Barrel%

17.4%

Avg EV

94.8

HR Park Factor

96

Hand matchup

LHB vs RHP

STRONG EDGE

66%

HR PICK
4
HOU logo

Yordan Alvarez

HOU vs RHP starter · Batting 3

Barrel%

15.9%

Avg EV

93.9

HR Park Factor

111

Hand matchup

LHB vs RHP

STRONG EDGE

64%

HR PICK
5
PHI logo

Kyle Schwarber

PHI vs RHP starter · Batting 1

Barrel%

17.1%

Avg EV

92.6

HR Park Factor

109

Hand matchup

LHB vs RHP

STRONG EDGE

61%

HR PICK
6
ATL logo

Matt Olson

ATL vs RHP starter · Batting 4

Barrel%

14.7%

Avg EV

92.8

HR Park Factor

104

Hand matchup

LHB vs RHP

STRONG EDGE

59%

7
NYY logo

Juan Soto

NYY vs RHP starter · Batting 3

Barrel%

13.6%

Avg EV

91.7

HR Park Factor

108

Hand matchup

LHB vs RHP

STRONG EDGE

56%

8
BOS logo

Rafael Devers

BOS vs RHP starter · Batting 3

Barrel%

12.9%

Avg EV

91.4

HR Park Factor

108

Hand matchup

LHB vs RHP

STRONG EDGE

53%

9
LAD logo

Mookie Betts

LAD vs RHP starter · Batting 2

Barrel%

11.8%

Avg EV

91.0

HR Park Factor

96

Hand matchup

RHB vs RHP

STRONG EDGE

49%

How This Works

The mlb_hr_hitter_classifier evaluates barrel rate, average exit velocity, park HR factor, handedness splits, and BvP history to rank today's most dangerous home run profiles.